AI Agents, Mathematics, and Making Sense of Chaos
From Artificiality This Week * Our Gathering: Our Artificiality Summit 2025 will be held on October 23-25 in Bend, Oregon. The
Fuse by improving synthesis of complex and conflicting information. Part 8 in our How to Use Generative AI series.
In today's world of information overload, the ability to synthesize complex and conflicting data into actionable insights is more crucial than ever. This skill is especially vital in fields like data science, business analysis, and policy formulation, where decision-makers must navigate through vast amounts of information to extract relevant insights and make informed decisions.
The process of improving synthesis involves several key strategies that help you to handle complexity with more confidence and precision.
First, extracting insights and flagging inconsistencies in vast datasets are foundational steps in the synthesis process. This critical examination helps identify patterns, outliers, and contradictions that could influence the direction of analysis. By meticulously combing through data, analysts can ensure that their conclusions are not just based on surface-level observations but are deeply rooted in a comprehensive understanding of the data landscape. While AI tools to do this (such as Advanced Data Analytics in ChatGPT+) are not fully developed, it's clear that in the near future, AI will be a key interface to how most professionals will work with data.
Structuring disparate information into coherent narratives is another essential strategy. It involves organizing data points, research findings, and observations into a narrative that explains underlying trends and potential solutions. This not only helps others understand complex scenarios but it can be vital in communicating findings to stakeholders who may not have a technical background. By weaving data into a story, analysts can highlight the significance of their findings and make abstract concepts more tangible and relatable.
Resolving ambiguities through data-driven analysis is crucial for modeling the various facets of a problem and its potential impacts. This approach requires a deep dive into data, leveraging statistical models, and analytical tools to dissect and understand the nuances of the information at hand. By addressing ambiguities head-on, analysts can present a more accurate and comprehensive view of the situation, paving the way for informed decision-making.
Finally, refining queries iteratively leads to a more nuanced understanding of multifaceted information. This iterative process involves revisiting assumptions, exploring alternative hypotheses, and continually questioning the data. This kind of dynamic approach ensures that the analysis remains flexible and responsive to new information, allowing analysts to refine their insights and recommendations over time.
Good Prompt:
"Can you help me create an educational guide that explains the key principles of Keynesian and Classical economics in a way that's easy to understand for high school students? I'm looking for a balanced view that shows how these theories apply to real-world economic situations and decision-making."
Better Prompt:
"Help me craft a lesson plan that contrasts Keynesian and Classical economics theories, targeting high school seniors. Include real-life examples, such as fiscal policies during economic recessions, to illustrate these theories in action. Also, suggest interactive activities that can help students understand the impact of these theories on everyday economic decisions."
Why Better: This prompt is more detailed, asking for a lesson plan with real-life examples and interactive activities. It targets a specific audience and context, making the content more relatable and engaging.
Best Prompt:
"Develop a comprehensive educational toolkit for high school seniors that explores Keynesian and Classical economics through a series of lessons. Each lesson should include a brief theory overview, case studies from recent economic events (like the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic economic response), and interactive activities or simulations that students can engage with. Ensure the toolkit emphasizes critical thinking by asking students to debate the theories' relevance in addressing contemporary economic challenges."
Why Best: This prompt is the most detailed, asking for a toolkit that includes theory overviews, recent case studies, and interactive elements. It not only seeks to educate but also to engage students in critical thinking and debate, providing a comprehensive learning experience.
Good Prompt:
"I have been researching whether to invest in renewable energy projects or traditional fossil fuels. Can you assess the impact of the latest market trends report on this decision? Specifically, does this new information significantly alter the risk/reward profile for either option enough to justify changing my preliminary decision?"
Better Prompt:
"Given my initial analysis favoring investment in renewable energy based on current market trends and ROI projections, assess the relevance and impact of the latest quarterly market trends report on this decision. Consider changes in government policies, technological advancements, and market demand in renewable energy vs. fossil fuels. Does this report introduce significant new data that could pivot the investment strategy?"
Why Better: This prompt specifies the basis of the initial decision and asks for an assessment that includes consideration of government policies, technological advancements, and market demand. It seeks a targeted analysis of the new report's impact on the investment strategy.
Best Prompt:
"Perform a deep dive analysis into the latest quarterly market trends report, focusing on its implications for investing in renewable energy versus fossil fuels. Evaluate the report in the context of ongoing global shifts, such as government sustainability incentives, breakthroughs in clean technology, and shifts in consumer energy preferences. Quantify how these factors might alter the projected ROI and risk profile of renewable investments compared to previous assessments. Should this new information prompt a reevaluation of the investment strategy?"
Why Best: This prompt asks for a comprehensive analysis that not only assesses the report's impact but also quantifies changes in ROI and risk profiles. It is specific, action-oriented, and seeks to understand the strategic implications of new information, making it highly effective for informed decision-making.
Good Prompt:
"I'm facing a decision on choosing the right marketing strategy for our new product launch: a broad digital media campaign vs. targeted influencer partnerships. Could you help me apply the SWOT analysis framework to these options? I need to understand the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats associated with each strategy to make an informed decision."
Better Prompt:
"Utilize the SWOT analysis framework to evaluate the effectiveness of a broad digital media campaign versus targeted influencer partnerships for our upcoming product launch. Include considerations of current market trends, our target demographic's media consumption habits, and the potential for ROI. Summarize the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats for each strategy to aid in decision-making."
Why Better: This prompt is more detailed, incorporating specific factors like market trends and target demographic habits into the SWOT analysis. It asks for a direct comparison to facilitate decision-making.
Best Prompt:
"Apply a comprehensive SWOT analysis to dissect the pros and cons of launching a broad digital media campaign versus targeted influencer partnerships for our new product. Factor in our company's market position, competitor strategies, target audience behaviors, and budget constraints. Provide a detailed evaluation of each approach's strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats, and recommend the most viable strategy based on potential ROI and alignment with our overall marketing objectives."
Why Best: This prompt is highly specific and contextual, asking for an evaluation that considers a wide range of strategic elements. It seeks not just an analysis but also a recommendation, making it a holistic approach to decision-making. This level of detail ensures responses will be directly applicable to the strategic goals, offering actionable insights.
Your company is debating whether to build an in-house tool or use an external vendor. There are conflicting tensions between speed, quality, control, and cost. Leverage your AI partner to help synthesize perspectives and make an aligned decision.
Step 1: Frame dilemmas: Identify key tensions or tradeoffs creating division in your team's views.
Prompt example: My company is debating build vs buy of a software product and there are conflicting tensions between speed, quality, control, and cost. Identify 10 tensions or tradeoffs that are typical in this situation.
Step 2: Gather insights from AI: Prompt your AI partner to provide data, research, precedents, and analysis on the dilemmas.
Prompt example: Analyze the pros and cons, risks, and precedents regarding building vs buying this software capability and help me understand the constraints I should consider.
Step 3: Synthesize perspectives: Ask your AI to synthesize the key perspectives and suggest how to resolve the tensions.
Prompt example: Synthesize the key tradeoffs. Recommend how we can make a decision that balances speed, quality, control, and cost.
Next: Reflect—Sharpen cognitive skills and metacognitive self-awareness
The Artificiality Weekend Briefing: About AI, Not Written by AI